PREDICTION MARKET · ECONOMY · USDT

India CPI May 2026 above 4.0%

India's May 2026 retail inflation print was closely watched against the RBI's 4% target. This market resolves YES if the official All India CPI (Combined) year-on-year figure for May 2026 is above 4.0%. A reading at or below 4.0% does not qualify.

Resolution rules · English binding text

This market resolves YES if the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) releases an All India CPI (Combined) YoY figure for May 2026 above 4.0%, as of June 12, 2026, 12:00 (UTC-8) — equivalent to June 12, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Resolves NO if the released figure is at or below 4.0%. Only the first official MoSPI release is binding; later revisions do not change the result. If MoSPI has not published the figure by the deadline, the market resolves NO. A value of exactly 4.0% resolves NO (the condition requires strictly above 4.0%). Resolution sources: mospi.gov.in / pib.gov.in

YES probability
50%
NO probability
50%
Market volume
0 USDT
Participants
404
Closed
2026-06-12
Resolved on
2026-07-19
Status
Resolved NO
India CPI May 2026 above 4.0%