PREDICTION MARKET · ECONOMY · USDT
Gold Price $4,250 or above on Oct 9, 2026
Spot gold traded near $4,143 an ounce on October 2, 2026, as the 10-year Treasury yield held near multiyear highs. This market resolves YES if the LBMA Gold Price PM auction on October 9 settles at or above $4,250.00. Spot quotes, futures and other days' auctions do not qualify.
Resolution rules · English binding text
This market resolves YES if the LBMA Gold Price PM auction held on October 9, 2026 (15:00 London) — equivalent to October 9, 2026, 06:00 (UTC-8) and October 9, 2026, 14:00 UTC — settles at or above $4,250.00 per troy ounce, as confirmed by the official LBMA Gold Price PM benchmark administered by ICE Benchmark Administration. Resolves NO if that auction settles below $4,250.00. Only the October 9, 2026 PM benchmark is binding; spot XAU/USD quotes, futures prices, the AM auction, auctions on other days and later revisions do not change the outcome. If no PM auction price is published for October 9, 2026, the market resolves NO. A settlement exactly at $4,250.00 resolves YES (higher bracket). Resolution sources: lbma.org.uk / ice.com / reuters.com
- YES probability
- 50%
- NO probability
- 50%
- Market volume
- 0 USDT
- Participants
- 0
- Closes
- 2026-10-09
- Status
- approved
