PREDICTION MARKET · POLITICS · USDT
Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize (announced October 9)?
The Norwegian Nobel Committee announces the 2026 Peace Prize on Friday, October 9 at 11:00 CEST at the Norwegian Nobel Institute in Oslo, the fifth of that week's prize announcements. This market resolves YES if Donald Trump is named a laureate, alone or jointly. Nominations, shortlists and bookmaker odds do not qualify.
Resolution rules · English binding text
This market resolves YES if Donald J. Trump is announced as a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, whether alone or jointly with other laureates, as of October 9, 2026, 01:00 (UTC-8) — equivalent to October 9, 2026, 09:00 UTC, which is October 9, 2026, 11:00 CEST, as confirmed by the Norwegian Nobel Committee's official announcement. Resolves NO if any other person or organization is named. Only the official announcement counts; nominations, leaked shortlists, bookmaker odds and media reports do not qualify. If the announcement is postponed beyond the deadline, or no 2026 Peace Prize is awarded, the market resolves NO. Resolution sources: nobelprize.org / nobelpeaceprize.org / reuters.com
- YES probability
- 50%
- NO probability
- 50%
- Market volume
- 0 USDT
- Participants
- 0
- Closes
- 2026-10-09
- Status
- approved
