PREDICTION MARKET · ECONOMY · USDT
Will Brent crude settle at $110.00 a barrel or above before December 1, 2026?
Brent traded near $101.23 a barrel on September 22, 2026, up about 9.8% over the trailing month and almost 50% year over year, with a risk premium attached to Middle East supply routes and analysts penciling in roughly $122 on a twelve-month view. This market resolves YES if the ICE Brent front-month futures settlement for the final trading day of the window is at or above $110.00. Intraday prints and spot quotes do not qualify.
Resolution rules · English binding text
This market resolves YES if the ICE Brent crude oil front-month futures settlement price is at or above $110.00 per barrel on the last ICE Futures Europe trading day ending at or before November 30, 2026, 23:59 (UTC-8) — equivalent to December 1, 2026, 07:59 UTC, as confirmed by ICE Futures Europe's official settlement data or, if ICE data is unavailable, the Reuters report of that settlement. Resolves NO if that settlement is below $110.00. Only the official settlement for that trading day is binding; intraday prices, spot quotes, WTI, other Brent contract months and later revisions do not change the outcome. If neither source publishes a valid settlement within 24 hours of the deadline, the market resolves NO. A value exactly on the threshold resolves YES (higher bracket). Resolution sources: theice.com / reuters.com
- YES probability
- 50%
- NO probability
- 50%
- Market volume
- 0 USDT
- Participants
- 0
- Closes
- 2026-12-01
- Status
- approved
