PREDICTION MARKET · TECH · USDT
Will OpenAI publicly file its IPO registration statement with the SEC before January 1, 2027?
OpenAI confirmed on June 8, 2026 that it had confidentially submitted a draft Form S-1 to the SEC, but as of late September 2026 no public registration statement had appeared on EDGAR and the company says it has not settled on timing. This market resolves YES if a Form S-1 naming OpenAI as registrant becomes publicly available on EDGAR before the deadline. The confidential draft already submitted does not qualify.
Resolution rules · English binding text
This market resolves YES if a registration statement on Form S-1 or Form F-1, with OpenAI or its successor holding entity as the registrant, is publicly filed and publicly available on the SEC's EDGAR system at or before December 31, 2026, 23:59 (UTC-8) — equivalent to January 1, 2027, 07:59 UTC. Resolves NO if no such public filing appears by the deadline. The confidential draft submission announced on June 8, 2026, any later non-public amendments, Form D or other exempt-offering filings, a direct listing carried out without an S-1, and press reports of an intent to file do not qualify. If OpenAI withdraws its submission before the deadline, the market resolves NO. Resolution sources: sec.gov / openai.com / reuters.com
- YES probability
- 50%
- NO probability
- 50%
- Market volume
- 0 USDT
- Participants
- 0
- Closes
- 2027-01-01
- Status
- approved
