PREDICTION MARKET · CRYPTO · USDT

Will Bitcoin gain 5% or more from October 5 to October 12?

A 7-day window on Binance BTC/USDT, from October 5, 12:00 to October 12, 12:00 (UTC-8). This market resolves YES if Bitcoin ends the window at least 5% above its starting price. A smaller gain, an unchanged price or a fall does not qualify.

Resolution rules · English binding text

For this market the baseline is the Close of the Binance Spot BTC_USDT 1-minute candle ending at October 5, 2026, 12:00 (UTC-8) — equivalent to October 5, 2026, 20:00 UTC — and the settlement price is the Close of the Binance Spot BTC_USDT 1-minute candle ending at October 12, 2026, 12:00 (UTC-8) — equivalent to October 12, 2026, 20:00 UTC, both taken from the official Binance Spot BTC_USDT price feed. This market resolves YES if the settlement price is at least 5.00% higher than the baseline — that is, settlement price ≥ baseline × 1.05. Resolves NO if the gain is smaller than 5.00%, or if the settlement price is equal to or below the baseline. Only those two 1-minute candle Closes are binding; prices at any other moment inside the window, quotes on other venues, index prices, derivatives markets and later data revisions do not change the outcome. If Binance does not publish a valid BTC_USDT 1-minute Close for either reference minute (halt or outage), the platform uses the first valid 1-minute Close published within the following 60 minutes for that reference point; if none is available, the market resolves NO. Forks or ticker renames do not change the reference pair. A gain of exactly 5.00% resolves YES (higher bracket). Resolution sources: binance.com / coingecko.com

YES probability
50%
NO probability
50%
Market volume
0 USDT
Participants
0
Closes
2026-10-12
Status
approved
Will Bitcoin gain 5% or more from October 5 to October 12?